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Showing posts with label Business-Economic. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Business-Economic. Show all posts

Thursday, 4 August 2011

Wall Street suffers worst selloff in two years


Investors fled Wall Street in the worst stock-market selloff since the middle of the financial crisis in early 2009 in what has turned into a full-fledged correction.

The Dow and the S&P tumbled more than 4 percent on Thursday and the Nasdaq lost 5 percent on fear the United States is staring at another recession and that Europe's sovereign debt crisis is swallowing two of its largest economies.

Analysts predicted further losses even though stocks have fallen on nine of the last 10 days. Two-year Treasury yields fell to a record low as investors sought safety in short-term government bonds.

"People are throwing in the towel because they can't find relief on any front," said Milton Ezrati, market strategist at Lord Abbett Co. in Jersey City, New Jersey, which manages $110 billion in assets.

The S&P 500's drop puts it more than 10 percent below its April 29 high, considered a correction. Nearly 14 billion shares changed hands, the busiest trading day in more than a year. Decliners beat advancers on the New York Stock Exchange by about 19 to 1.

The market's recent malaise stems from a number of factors. U.S. economic data has worsened, suggesting slowing growth from already sluggish pace in the first half. Europe's sovereign debt crisis has defied remedies and threatens to engulf large euro-zone economies Spain and Italy.

"The debt troubles in Europe, especially with the yields on Italian and Spanish government bonds soaring, are making investors gather as much liquidity as possible," said Stephen Massocca, managing director of Wedbush Morgan in San Francisco.

The Dow Jones industrial average was down 512.46 points, or 4.31 percent, at 11,383.98. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index fell 60.21 points, or 4.78 percent, at 1,200.13. The Nasdaq Composite Index lost 136.68 points, or 5.08 percent, at 2,556.39.

Some 13.92 billion shares changed hands on the New York Stock Exchange, NYSE Amex and Nasdaq, the highest since June 25, 2010, and well above the daily average of around 7.48 billion.

Losses occurred in all sectors. Among stocks hitting new 52-week lows were Bank of America, down 7.4 percent at $8.83, Citigroup, down 6.6 percent at $34.81, and Hewlett-Packard, down 5.1 percent at $32.54.

Among sectors, losses in energy and materials outpaced others, with S&P energy down 6.8 percent and materials down more than 6.6 percent.

U.S. crude futures settled down $5.30 to $86.63 a barrel in New York.

The CBOE Volatility index jumped 35.4 percent to 31.66, its highest since July 2010. It was the biggest rise since February 2007.

Overseas, the European Central Bank signaled it was buying government bonds in response to a deepening European debt crisis. In Japan, the government intervened in currency markets to stem recent gains in the yen.

On Friday the government releases July's payrolls report, a closely watched number to gauge the U.S. economy.

(Reporting by Angela Moon; Additional reporting by Richard Leong; Editing by Kenneth Barry)

Special report: How Washington took the U.S. to the brink


(Reuters) - The world's largest economy was headed toward an unprecedented default, and all Washington wanted to talk about was the manner in which the president had left a room.

A White House meeting in mid-July between President Barack Obama and congressional leaders had ended with sharp words as Obama clashed with the brash Republican House majority leader, Eric Cantor.

Now Cantor was back on Capitol Hill, dishing details to a scrum of reporters -- a shift from the terse, vague statements that usually followed such meetings.

"He said to me, 'Eric, don't call my bluff. I'm going to the American people with this,'" Cantor said in his Southern drawl. "I was somewhat taken aback."

Republican aides filled in the gaps. Obama had "stormed out of the room," one said. At the White House, aides pushed back. One official demonstrated to reporters exactly how Obama had ended the meeting -- lightly pushing his chair back from the table, standing up deliberately, walking away calmly. "He didn't storm out. He just got up and walked into his office," one said.

That evening -- July 13, 2011 -- was one of the lowest points in the struggle to avert fiscal disaster and put the nation's budget on a sustainable path.

Congress needed to extend the country's $14.3 trillion debt ceiling before Tuesday, August 2, the date the Treasury Department would begin running out of cash to cover the country's bills. But Republicans and Democrats were deadlocked.

INSIDERS UNITE

As the deadline drew closer, the two sides abandoned a series of efforts to reach agreement, searching for the right combination of policies and personalities to get a deal done. In the end, it fell to two consummate Washington insiders to prevent the talks from collapsing.

A Reuters examination of the months-long showdown over the debt ceiling found that:

* Vice President Joe Biden and Senate Republican Leader Mitch McConnell emerged as critical players in the final stretch of the talks, as theirs was the only cross-party relationship built on decades of trust.

* Despite a belief among many rank-and-file Republicans that the government could muddle through a default, party leaders never doubted the Treasury Department's warnings that economic catastrophe was a real possibility if they didn't reach a deal by August 2.

* Although House of Representatives Speaker John Boehner, the top U.S. Republican, was eager to strike a bold deal with Obama, it was ultimately necessary for Boehner to distance himself from the White House to convince his House Republicans to back the final deal.

* The business community played an important behind-the-scenes role, with two White House foes -- Wall Street and the Chamber of Commerce -- rallying support for a compromise backed by Obama.

This account of America's journey to the brink of default is based on interviews conducted over the past six weeks with dozens of elected officials, business lobbyists and aides in the House, the Senate and the White House.

A ZEAL FOR CUTS

The U.S. congressional elections in November 2010 set the stage for confrontation over the congressionally mandated cap on the outstanding total of federal government borrowings. Republicans had harnessed voters' anxiety over the economy and soaring deficits to capture the House of Representatives.

Accusing Obama of overreaching with his stimulus package in 2009 and his drive for healthcare reform, Republicans vowed to slash spending and rein in the federal government's size.

A campaign document -- the "Pledge to America" -- promised to cut spending by $100 billion in the first year alone, back to the levels in place in Republican President George W. Bush's last year in office.

The newly elected Republicans, 87 in all, were not interested in compromise. Many felt a greater obligation to the grassroots Tea Party activists who had sent them to Washington than to the party elders who ran the place.

In a budget fight with the Democratic-controlled Senate that took the government to the brink of a shutdown in April, Republicans managed to cut spending by $38 billion, the largest domestic cut in U.S. history.

Still, 59 House Republicans voted against the bill because it did not go far enough.

BOEHNER'S BATTLELINES

That was a mere skirmish. The big battle lay ahead as the government was fast running up against its $14.3 trillion credit limit and would need Congress to raise it further. In early May, Boehner laid out his conditions for a debt-ceiling increase: spending cuts would need to exceed the amount of new borrowing authority.

Instead of billions of dollars, the debate would be measured in the trillions.

It would be a chance for Boehner to show his new troops that he could use the levers of Washington to get results.

An avid golfer and a chain-smoker, the 61-year-old Boehner is from an older generation than many of the Tea Party conservatives whose election to Congress made it possible for him to become House Speaker.

The seasoned legislator and former businessman grew up in Ohio from a family of modest means and worked as a janitor to help put himself through college.

Obama, 49, had a comfort level with fellow Midwesterner Boehner despite their philosophical differences. The speaker reminded the president, a former state senator from Illinois, of Republican legislators he used to play poker with in Illinois and with whom he forged bipartisan deals.

Both men are even-tempered and view themselves as Washington outsiders. Each has ambitions of transforming Washington and making a big mark on policy.

Those aspirations drove their on-again, off-again talks aimed at a far-reaching, bipartisan "grand bargain" that would put the United States on sounder fiscal footing for years to come.

On a golf outing in mid-June, the two agreed to work together on a broad deficit-reduction deal. "Let's give it a try," Obama told the speaker.

The following week, at a secret White House meeting, they agreed to have their staff draw up options. The aim was to craft a plan that would cut deficits by roughly $4 trillion over 10 years.

A 'GRAND BARGAIN?'

The challenges were steep. Democrats would have to agree to rein in cherished social programs like the Medicare health plan for retirees and the disabled. Republicans would have to accept a tax-code overhaul that would increase revenues through the elimination of tax breaks and deductions.

Boehner's enthusiasm for the "grand bargain" was not shared by his colleague, Senate Republican leader Mitch McConnell.

McConnell had confided to Vice President Joe Biden that he thought it was unrealistic to try to accomplish such a sweeping deal in the weeks before August 2 deadline.

The Senate Republican leader worried it would lead to a dead end when pressure was building to resolve the debt-limit standoff. Rating agencies were warning they might downgrade the country's top-notch credit score and, while there was no sign of panic yet in financial markets, investors were growing nervous.

McConnell, 69, had served in the Senate since 1985 and witnessed firsthand the divided-government battles of the 1990s, when Republican House Speaker Newt Gingrich and an earlier generation of firebrand conservatives went toe-to-toe with Democratic President Bill Clinton.

MEMORIES OF 1996

That confrontation led to a shutdown of the federal government and provoked a public backlash against Gingrich and his party. With the Republican brand tarnished, Clinton sailed to re-election in 1996.

McConnell, whose party is a minority in the closely divided Senate, viewed the 2012 elections as a chance to gain dominance in the chamber.

He feared the debt-limit fight would put that in jeopardy while also bolstering Obama's re-election prospects.

If Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner's warnings were right -- and both McConnell and Boehner believed they were despite skepticism among their rank-and-file -- the fallout from a debt default would be calamitous, causing stocks and the dollar to sink and interest rates to surge.

Mortgage rates and business borrowing costs would spike, potentially sending the economy into another recession. That would mean Republicans -- whom Democrats had accused of intransigence over the debt limit -- would share in the blame for the economy's woes and suffer voter wrath as a result.

Many in the White House viewed McConnell as more of a tactician than a visionary and someone more focused on party politics than on setting policy. In the quest for a grand bargain, Boehner would make a better partner, they thought.

But in the end, after Boehner twice broke off talks with the White House, administration officials relied heavily on McConnell as an emissary to the speaker, and came to view him as a crucial player.

A BOND BETWEEN RIVALS

The administration's chief link to McConnell was Biden, 68, a 36-year veteran of the Senate with rock-solid Democratic credentials who nonetheless had a strong rapport with the Republican leader.

The two seemed to speak the same language from their years in the Senate together. Their bond grew closer when they worked together on a tax-cutting deal just before Christmas late last year, according to people who know both men.

"C'mon Mitch, you know what I'm dealing with here," Biden would sometimes tell McConnell -- Senate-speak to describe the pushback he would face from Democratic Party activists if he gave too much ground.

According to a former Biden aide, McConnell seemed to appreciate that Biden understood the GOP leader faced similar constraints within the Republican Party.

In April, Obama tapped Biden to lead a panel of lawmakers that would lay the groundwork for a deal. In an ornate corner room just off the Senate floor, the group pored through stacks of government and private-sector reports to identify more than $1 trillion in mutually acceptable spending cuts.

As the talks stretched into June, Biden gradually built up a rapport with Cantor, the House majority leader, who was leading the Republican side.

REPUBLICAN RIFT

In less than 10 years in Washington, Cantor had quickly climbed to the top rungs of Republican leadership. But his sharp elbows had earned him enemies -- some from within his own party.

He and Boehner had a cool relationship, say people who know both lawmakers. The rift extended into the lobbying community, where Republicans identified themselves as "Boehner people" or "Cantor people."

At the end of June, Cantor abruptly walked out of the Biden talks, saying the two sides could not agree on taxes. The "principals" -- Obama and Boehner -- would have to take it from there.

Even before the Biden talks began, members of Boehner's office dismissed them as political theater.

"This thing will ultimately get decided by Boehner and Obama," a Boehner aide said.

After weeks of back-channel negotiations with Obama, Boehner decided on July 22 that he could not work with the White House and would have to forge a deal with Democrats on Capitol Hill.

The two sides had come tantalizingly close to a deal, but stumbled again over the tax question.

Boehner felt the White House had shifted the goalposts at the last minute.

White House officials believed Boehner's departure stemmed from an unwillingness -- or an inability -- to take on the conservative rebels in his party. If Boehner had been willing to shake hands publicly with Obama on a "grand bargain," they said, there would have been a way to woo enough mainstream Republicans and Democrats to pass the bill.

They also disagreed with any suggestions that they had shifted the goalposts.

'A BOWL OF JELL-O'

"Dealing with the White House is like dealing with a bowl of Jell-O," Boehner said angrily at a press conference that night.

Obama called him back to the White House the following day and told him he should not be left out of the process.

"Mr. President, as I read the Constitution, the Congress writes the laws. You get to decide if you want to sign them," Boehner responded, according to his aides.

The action moved back to Congress. Like the deal that Boehner and the White House had abandoned, the latest plan would separate the relatively easy decisions -- curbs on annual discretionary spending -- from the difficult reforms to benefits and the tax code.

It wasn't the "grand bargain" Obama and Boehner had sought, but it would deliver trillions in savings and cover the nation's borrowing needs past the November 2012 elections.

There was one catch. The plan would require another debt-ceiling vote in a few months to ensure Congress would sign off on the second set of savings, and Obama had already ruled that out.

Around 10 p.m., on Saturday, July 23, Obama called Boehner to tell him he would veto the bill if it reached his desk. But he suggested that they could find another way to ensure Congress would actually follow through with the tax and benefit changes envisioned by the plan.

GOING SEPARATE WAYS

Congressional staff continued work on the plan the next day. Boehner told Fox News he would press ahead with his own legislation if the two sides could not agree. With no progress made on the enforcement mechanism, known as a "trigger" in Washington-speak, that appeared to be the case.

Boehner told Republicans he would unveil his version of the plan on Monday, July 25, while the Democratic leader of the Senate, Harry Reid, decided to advance a rival plan. Another effort had failed.

The final week would put Boehner's leadership to the test.

Boehner unveiled his plan to Republicans that Monday in a meeting room in the bowels of the Capitol. It wouldn't tie a debt-limit increase to the balanced-budget constitutional amendment, as many of them wanted, but it would deliver more than $2 trillion in savings. A vote was set for Wednesday, July 27.

Boehner launched a two-front lobbying blitz, alternating between in-person meetings with wavering lawmakers and phone calls to conservative media figures like talk radio host Rush Limbaugh and columnist Charles Krauthammer.

On Monday night, he touted the plan directly to a national audience, as television networks granted him air time to respond to a prime-time speech by Obama.

'READY TO DRIVE THE CAR'

Boehner's rally continued on Tuesday morning at the Capitol Hill Club, a social club for Republicans. Boehner's lieutenants took the lead. Cantor bluntly acknowledged that "the debt limit sucks." Kevin McCarthy, the House Republican whip, or lead vote counter, showed a clip from "The Town," a 2010 movie about bank robbers.

"I need your help," said a character played by Ben Affleck. "You can never ask me about it later and we're gonna hurt some people."

"Whose car are we going to take?" asks another character.

The message: it was time to get the job done, no matter how messy. The film clip appeared to win over at least one convert.

Representative Allen West, an outspoken Tea Party-aligned freshman, stood up and shouted: "I'm ready to drive the car!"

OBAMA'S UNLIKELY ALLIES

But momentum shifted as the day wore on. Outside conservative groups like the Club for Growth and the Heritage Foundation urged a vote against the bill.

At the White House, aides were batting away suggestions that Obama had been sidelined.

"He's working tirelessly, meeting with his economic team, doing a lot of outreach, exploring all opportunities for compromise," said senior White House adviser Valerie Jarrett.

Obama worked the phones, talking strategy with Democratic leaders and developing options for the final endgame.

Jarrett, one of the administration's envoys to the business community, said her phone was ringing off the hook with calls from retailers and other business owners worried about the prospect of another debt-limit fight in December if Obama was forced to accept Boehner's two-step plan.

The White House was also actively reaching out to the business community to spell out the dire consequences of a default.

The administration found an ally in the Chamber of Commerce, a group traditionally aligned with Republicans, who now urged the party to back the bill.

The financial services industry was also on the same page as the administration on this issue, despite its many skirmishes with the White House during the debate over Wall Street reform in 2010.

JAMMED CIRCUITS

In his public address on Monday night, Obama had implored Americans to intervene directly by calling, emailing or posting messages on Twitter to their lawmakers.

Telephone circuits on Capitol Hill seized up, email messages bounced back and Web sites crashed under the load.

The anxiety at the White House was building.

"It's fair to say that nobody here had any doubt that this was going to go right up to the line, even as we urged Congress not to take it right up to the line," one administration official said. "That's just the way Congress works."

Still, the path toward a deal was far from clear.

Over at Treasury, Geithner was trying to figure out what to do if Congress failed to reach a deal in time.

Should the government make debt service a top priority to prevent a meltdown on Wall Street? That could delay paychecks to soldiers, benefit checks to retirees, and payments to government contracts, sending ripples through the economy.

Back at the Capitol, Boehner's troubles mounted.

Representative Jim Jordan, a leader of the Republican Party's right wing, predicted Boehner wouldn't get the votes he needed from his own party. Democrats united against his bill.

The Congressional Budget Office, the official scorekeeper, said it would only deliver $850 billion in savings, rather than the $1.2 trillion it claimed. Late that evening, Boehner decided to rewrite the bill to make sure it complied with the party's vow to extract spending cuts greater than the size of the debt limit increase. That put off a vote until at least Thursday.

'FIRE HIM!'

The acrimony spilled into the open Wednesday morning, July 27, in the party's basement meeting room.

Representative Greg Walden, a Boehner ally, read aloud an email from a Jordan staffer that urged outside conservative groups to convince undecided members to vote against the bill. Many lawmakers in the room viewed the message as a betrayal of the Speaker. As the Jordan staffer stood uncomfortably against a wall, lawmakers chanted, "Fire him! Fire him!"

The usually jovial Boehner turned the screws. "Get your ass in line," he said. There was laughter, but the message was unmistakable.

As the meeting adjourned, lawmakers predicted the bill would pass. But a large number remained on the fence. Boehner spent the day listening to their concerns -- the cuts weren't big enough, the special committee might raise taxes, the balanced-budget amendment has been watered down.

Thursday morning, July 28: another meeting, another chance to rally the troops over fruit and doughnuts and signs that read "Play like a champion." Representative Mike Kelly, an alumnus of Notre Dame University, drew upon his school's storied legacy as he urged members to "put on your helmet, buckle your chin straps, run out onto the field and beat the shit out of your opponent!"

Doubters like Jordan stayed silent. As the meeting adjourned, they told reporters that their opposition had not changed.

With the rewritten bill ready to go, Republican leaders scheduled a vote for late Thursday afternoon. As debate started on the House floor, Boehner, Majority Leader Cantor and Whip McCarthy continued to meet with doubters, making the case that the party needed to stick together if it wanted an acceptable final product.

At 5:25 p.m., the Republican troika abruptly yanked the bill from the House floor with only one minute left of debate. They didn't have the votes.

'BLOODY AND BEATEN'

As floor action turned to naming post offices, Boehner summoned the holdouts to his office just off the Capitol rotunda. Whatever he was doing wasn't changing any minds.

"I'm a bloodied and beaten 'no,'" said Representative Louie Gohmert of Texas, one of several conservatives who had downplayed the consequences of a technical default, as he left the office.

At the beginning of the year, Republicans had enacted a ban on earmarks, the pet spending projects that had come to symbolize waste and corruption in the public imagination. That meant that Boehner had fewer carrots to offer reluctant members -- no highway overpasses.

"It is the most refreshing thing in the world to see what is going on here. These kinds of negotiations a couple of years ago would have cost $20 billion," said Representative Jeff Flake of Arizona, whose anti-spending stance had made him an outcast in the party in the past decade.

The five Republicans who represent South Carolina headed from Boehner's opulent suite to the Capitol's small, private chapel to pray.

As they knelt beneath a stained glass window depicting George Washington, they weren't praying for guidance, just strength to maintain their stand.

"I think divine inspiration has already happened. I was a 'lean-no,' now I'm a 'no,'" said Representative Tim Scott.

19 BOXES OF PIZZA

The action moved downstairs to McCarthy's office. The jovial 46-year-old Republican whip, from California's dusty interior, was a novice vote counter. He had presided over a few embarrassing setbacks earlier in the year. Now he was facing a true disaster.

As the night wore on, 19 boxes of pizza from Al's Pizzeria disappeared into McCarthy's office.

The holdouts weren't looking for pork-barrel spending or other favors -- though they didn't refuse the pizza. Instead, they wanted to strengthen the balanced-budget clause. That would certainly doom the bill in the Senate, but at that point Boehner just wanted to get it out of the House.

Even with that change, Boehner still appeared to be short of the 217 votes he needed. At 10:30 on Thursday night, the House adjourned without a vote.

House Republicans met in their basement clubhouse again on Friday morning, July 29. The holdouts came under more pressure -- this time from other rank-and-file members who said they were undermining the party's negotiating position. But a final count showed that the votes appeared to be there.

"I love you guys," Boehner said in a moment of levity.

The bill passed Friday evening on a vote of 218 to 210 -- just one vote more than needed. The Senate defeated it two hours later, and the House retaliated on Saturday by defeating a proposal put forth by Harry Reid, leader of the Democratic majority in the Senate.

Another week had elapsed, and Congress was no closer to consensus.

While the legislative chess game played out, Biden called McConnell on Wednesday and Friday.

MCCONNELL'S BOTTOM LINE

Out of loyalty to Boehner, the Senate Republican leader had refrained from talks with the White House for most of the week.

On Friday morning, McConnell told Biden there was "no daylight" between the two Republicans, but told the vice president to try later in the day.

"Call me back after these votes and I will tell you what it will take to get my support," McConnell said, according to a Republican aide.

Biden and McConnell spoke again Friday evening and in the early afternoon on Saturday. Negotiations began in earnest around 3 p.m., after the House defeated Reid's bill.

Tuesday, August 2, was three days away.

White House chief of staff Bill Daley's office became Grand Central Station for a rolling series of meetings among White House staff. The meetings moved on Sunday to the vice president's office and later to the Oval Office.

On Saturday, Obama asked Biden's chief of staff, Bruce Reed, whether his wife was angry that he was spending his wedding anniversary at the office.

"Previously, I was on negative watch but I've now been officially downgraded," Reed deadpanned.

CLIMACTIC PHONE CALLS

After months of high-profile meetings, nearly all of the negotiations on the final weekend took place by phone.

In the big gatherings, participants tended to emphasize "talking points" because of the expectation that the conversations would spill out into the public. Smaller meetings allowed participants to cut to the chase, according to an administration official, and details could remain private.

On Saturday night, a media report surfaced that there was a tentative framework for a deal.

White House reporters seeking an update chased a top communications aide toward the Oval Office, only to be told later that the two sides had not arrived at a deal yet.

Indeed, the negotiations ended up going down to the wire.

At 5 p.m. on Sunday night, White House officials discussed whether Treasury Secretary Geithner should make a statement to the financial markets that evening or perhaps the following morning.

GEITHNER'S GAME

Geithner, in his former role as head of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, was one of the chief financial firefighters during the global markets meltdown triggered by the collapse of Lehman Brothers in September 2008.

Asian markets were about to open. The crisis had already roiled U.S. debt markets and taken a toll on the dollar and Wall Street stocks.

Administration officials feared worse bloodletting if investors returned to their desks at the start of the week without clarity on whether there would be a deal.

Geithner and a small team of aides had been quietly working on contingency plans in case Congress missed the August 2 deadline to raise the debt ceiling. Treasury had planned to brief markets on those plans no later than Monday.

Private-sector analysts believed that in a worst-case scenario, Geithner would be prepared to tell markets he would put a priority on paying the government's debt in order to avoid default -- even if that meant taking the politically explosive step of delaying payments to Social Security recipients and others.

PULLING THE TRIGGER

But the Treasury secretary never had to show his hand.

The final sticking point in the talks centered on the terms of the deficit-cutting "trigger." Democrats wanted automatic cuts in military spending if Congress balked at the second round of deficit reduction.

Biden and McConnell spoke four times on Saturday, five times on Sunday, circling around the two stumbling blocks that remained -- the nature of the "trigger" and the size of the defense cuts that Democrats wanted. McConnell kept in contact with Boehner.

On Sunday, July 31, there were less than two full days before Default Day. As Obama's budget director, Jack Lew, crunched numbers on the Republican defense cut proposals, the White House feared it might not get a deal. Biden spoke with Boehner around 4 p.m. and said, "We just can't get there."

McConnell floated a compromise to widen the trigger to all security-related programs -- the State Department, veterans' care, nuclear security -- and not just the Pentagon.

At 8:15 p.m. Sunday, Obama made a final call to Boehner as White House aides listened nearby.

"Do we have a deal?" Obama asked.

There was a moment of suspense, then: "Congratulations to you, too, John."

(Additional reporting by Richard Cowan, Rachelle Younglai, Laura MacInnis, Dave Clarke, Alister Bull and Jeff Mason; Editing by Jackie Frank)

UK lawmakers pressure Piers Morgan on hacking claims


(Reuters) - - British lawmakers called on Thursday for CNN talk show host and former tabloid editor Piers Morgan to return to his native Britain to answer questions about phone-hacking after allegations made by the ex-wife of former Beatle Paul McCartney.

The claim by Heather Mills that a journalist had listened to voicemail messages on her mobile phone has added fuel to the flames of a scandal that has engulfed Rupert Murdoch's News Corp empire and much of the British establishment.

In an interview with the BBC Wednesday, Mills said a journalist working for British publisher Trinity Mirror, owner of the Daily Mirror tabloid newspaper, had confronted her with details of a message left by McCartney on her phone in early 2001 following an argument.

She said the senior journalist -- who was not Morgan -- had admitted hacking her phone. Morgan was the editor of the Mirror at the time.

So far, allegations about the hacking scam have been mainly limited to the News of the World newspaper, owned by News Corp's British newspaper arm News International.

The Sunday tabloid was closed last month amid public fury after it emerged that hacking victims included a missing schoolgirl later found murdered and other victims of crime.

The claim by Mills widened the hacking scandal to other titles and turned the spotlight on Morgan, who edited the News of the World from 1994-95 and the Mirror from 1995-2004.

Morgan said in a 2006 article for Britain's Daily Mail newspaper that he had listened to one of Mills' phone messages.

Trinity Mirror and Morgan, now a chat-show host for CNN in the United States, issued statements denying any wrongdoing.

"Heather Mills has made unsubstantiated claims about a conversation she may or may not have had with a senior executive from a Trinity Mirror newspaper in 2001," he said, describing her claims as "somewhat extravagant."

"To reiterate, I have never hacked a phone, told anyone to hack a phone, nor to my knowledge published any story obtained from the hacking of a phone," he added.

MORGAN NEEDS "TO DO MORE"

Therese Coffey, a Conservative legislator who sits on a parliament's Culture, Media and Sport committee which is investigating phone-hacking, said Morgan needed to do more than simply issue statements.

Fellow committee member Jim Sheridan said it would be "helpful" if Morgan could clear up the allegations.

"If the evidence suggests the Mirror group, Piers Morgan or indeed anyone else has been involved in phone-hacking then the police have to contact them and make sure that their nest is clean," he told BBC TV.

"I am deeply suspicious that this doesn't stop at News International."

Harriet Harman, deputy leader of the opposition Labor Party, said Morgan had questions to answer and that detectives, who are probing the hacking allegations as well as claims reporters paid bribes to police for information, should leave no stone unturned.

"It's not good enough for Piers Morgan just to say he's always stayed within the law," she said in a statement.

However, the chairman of the committee told the BBC there were no plans to formally call Morgan to give evidence, and that the committee was focusing on suggestions News International executives had given them misleading evidence.

Two former senior News International figures have contradicted evidence provided by Murdoch's son James. It is likely the committee will recall him to clarify his earlier testimony.

NY seeks to intervene in BoA $8.5 billion pact


LinkNew York's attorney general will oppose Bank of America Corp's $8.5 billion settlement over repurchasing toxic mortgage loans, joining a growing number of unhappy mortgage bond buyers now fighting the pact reached with some of the largest institutional investors in the country.

In court papers filed late Thursday, New York Attorney General Eric Schneiderman sought to intervene in order to "protect the marketplace and the interests of New York investors, the vast majority of whom otherwise are not present before the Court in this proceeding."

The filing comes a day before a scheduled court hearing in the case that's expected to address when parties opposing the deal can seek discovery.

In late June, BofA settled an eight-month dispute with outside investors who bought Countrywide Financial Corp mortgage bonds.

The investors -- including Pacific Investment Management Co, or PIMCO, and BlackRock Inc -- requested the bank repurchase toxic home loans that comprised a series of mortgage-backed securities.

BofA, the investors and securities trustee Bank of New York Mellon agreed to an $8.5 billion settlement that applies to all investors in nearly all Countrywide Financial-created mortgage bonds, but the deal must be approved by a New York court.

The attorney general said in a filing the accord may interfere with his ability to pursue claims against the banks involved, and claims that BofA and Bank of New York may have violated their fiduciary duties in reaching the agreement.

In court documents, Schneiderman echoed complaints from other investors who have said that the deal was done in secret and was rife with conflicts. He called the proposed settlement "both procedurally and substantively flawed."

Schneiderman argued that Bank of New York was conflicted during the negotiations with Bank of America because Countrywide agreed to indemnify it for claims arising out of its role as trustee.

"As trustee, BNYM owed and owes a fiduciary duty of undivided loyalty to trust investors, and its direct financial interest in the consummation and approval of the settlement violates that duty of strict loyalty," said Schneiderman in court filings.

A spokesman for Bank of New York said in a statement that the allegations are "outrageous" and "baseless."

"We are confident that we have fulfilled in all respects our responsibilities as Trustee," he said. "The AG's action is misguided and fails to comprehend the role of the Trustee and the benefit the settlement would provide to investors.

Bank of America declined to comment.

The objection is the latest wrinkle in BofA's push to rid itself of mortgage issues stemming from the collapse of the U.S. housing market.

The bank inherited many of its current problems from Countrywide Financial Corp. BofA bought the largest U.S. subprime mortgage lender in July 2008, months before the global financial crisis peaked.

This year, BofA has agreed to a series of settlements to remove the specter it may have to repurchase billions in soured mortgages.

In January, the bank settled with U.S. government-backed mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac for $2.8 billion.

In April, it settled with bond insurer Assured Guaranty for $1.6 billion.

The case is In re: The Bank of New York Mellon, New York State Supreme Court, New York County, No. 651786/2011.

Jobs, retail sales data support recovery hopes

(Reuters) - The number of Americans claiming new unemployment benefits was steady last week and heavy discounting lifted sales at retailers in July, hopeful signs for the sputtering economy.

Initial claims for state jobless benefits edged down 1,000 to 400,000, the Labor Department said on Thursday. Economists had expected claims to rise to 405,000 and the dip last week indicated an easing in layoffs, which have weighed on employment in the past two months.

"While the economic slowdown appears to be stretching into the third quarter, what really matters is jobs," said Millan Mulraine, a macro strategist at TD Securities in New York.

"The pace of job losses has eased relative to what it was a few weeks ago and that is important because it could reflect positively on confidence going forward."

There was also more encouraging news for the economy, whose growth pace stalled in the first half of this year.

Retailers, including Limited Brands and teen apparel chains Hot Topic Inc and Wet Seal, reported healthy monthly sales increases in July as deep discounts and unusually warm weather lured shoppers to malls.

Twenty-five retailers tracked by Thomson Reuters reported a 4.4 percent gain in July sales at stores open at least a year, just above expectations of a 4.3 percent rise.

But the reports failed to ease investors' fears over the stalled recovery, which were exacerbated by Europe's inability to tame its spreading debt crisis.

U.S. stocks tumbled in their worst sell-off in two years, while Treasury debt prices soared. The dollar rallied broadly after the ECB kept interest rates on hold and the Bank of Japan intervened in the market to curb the yen's rise.

U.S. gross domestic product grew at an annual pace of 1.3 percent in the second quarter after a negligible 0.4 percent rate in the January-March period.

Data so far show the anemic growth pace persisted early in the third quarter, with manufacturing hitting a two-year low in July and the services sector expanding at its slowest pace in nearly 1-1/2 years.

ACTIVITY EXPECTED TO PICK UP

"We expect economic activity to improve in the second half of the year, which should result in better labor market conditions," said Michael Gapen, a senior economist at Barclays Capital in New York.

"Still, the full unwinding of the high gasoline prices and supply chain disruptions stemming from the Japanese earthquake, which led to much of the softness in second-quarter, will take time, but appears to be proceeding."

The slowdown is not confined to the United States.

Sovereign debt problems in Europe have clouded the economic outlook and on Thursday, European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet warned of risks to growth from financial markets and energy prices.

The claims data came before Friday's release of the government's comprehensive employment report for July, which will be scrutinized for signs of how quickly the economy can regain its momentum.

Nonfarm payrolls likely increased 85,000 last month, according to a Reuters survey, after rising only 18,000 in June. The jobless rate is expected to hold steady at 9.2 percent.

"The economy remains in a questionable phase and employers are well aware of it," said Jim Baird, a partner at Plante Moran Financial Advisors in Kalamazoo, Michigan.

"While a strong rebound in the July numbers is unlikely, some improvement in job creation for July or upward revisions to the June numbers could alleviate some of the market's concerns (of double-dip), at least temporarily."

Jobless claims are hovering around 400,000 and need to break decisively beneath that level to signal a sustainable improvement in the labor market.

The four-week moving average of claims, considered a better measure of labor market trends, fell to its lowest level since mid-April.


BNY Mellon imposes fee on rapidly growing deposits


(Reuters) - Bank of New York Mellon Corp told some of its biggest depositors this week it does not want their money.

BNY Mellon said it is charging a fee to big corporate and asset management clients that deposit more money than average, because it has been overwhelmed by deposits.

Global economic turmoil -- including the Greek debt crisis and the U.S. debt ceiling debate -- has driven BNY Mellon's large clients to sell riskier assets and move the proceeds to deposit accounts.

The flood of cash is likely to raise BNY Mellon's U.S. deposit insurance fees and could weaken capital ratios, which are partly based on liabilities such as deposits.

BNY Mellon said in a letter to clients that the big increase in deposits is likely "transient," meaning the funds cannot be invested.

"Past history shows that once the storm passes, these deposits quickly return to the markets," its letter said.

The fee is nominal -- just 0.13 percentage points a year, or less than $200 a day on an excess balance of $50 million-- and it applies only to clients with average deposits of more than $50 million who exceed their average levels in June. High-net worth clients are not subject to the fee.

The decision to impose a charge, however, reflects how pressed banks feel to control costs as interest rates wallow near zero in an economy that shows little signs of recovery.

The decision to charge for deposits contributed to soaring demand on Thursday for U.S. Treasury bills, traders said, as bank depositors redeployed cash into government securities. One-month T-bill rates dipped below zero.

The bank encouraged clients "to consider a variety of cash investment options to minimize any effect" of the new charge.

BNY Mellon, like other trust and custody banks, manages cash for companies and handles back-office processing of securities and banking transaction for fund managers, among its other businesses. The bank does not have retail branches.

The company's move to impose deposit fees was not matched by rivals State Street Corp, or Northern Trust Corp.

BNY Mellon's deposits are rising in part because companies have been maintaining higher cash balances during the recent financial and economic turmoil. Similarly, investment managers have been selling risky assets and plowing proceeds into bank accounts to ensure they can meet investor demands for redemption.

Marty Mosby, a banking analyst at Guggenheim Partners, said BNY Mellon has more corporate clients than many of its rivals and therefore attract more deposits.

The bank is imposing the new fee on customers whose monthly average balances after August 8 are more than 10 percent above their average in June and the extra fee only applies to the portion of the balance that is at least 10 percent above the average.

The fee is 0.13 percentage points annualized, which is adjusted if one-month Treasury bill rates fall below zero.

The bank said the fee is intended to apply to a small number of clients and will likely be rescinded as markets return to normal.

Higher deposits could raise U.S. deposit insurance fees assessed quarterly by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp, based on banks' daily average deposit and asset levels.

(Reporting by Dan Wilchins and Emily Flitter; additional reporting by Richard Leong and Jed

It’s all about the jobs


By Laura Tyson
The opinions expressed are her own.

Reuters invited leading economists and writers to reply to Larry Summers’ op-ed on his reaction to the debt ceiling deal. We will be publishing the responses here. Below is Tyson’s reply. Here are responses from Benn Steil, Russ Roberts, Donald Boudreaux, Robert Frank and James Pethokoukis as well.

I share many of Professor Summers’ reactions to the debt limit deal — the so-called “Budget Control Act of 2011.” Like him, I am deeply relieved that the deal averted a default and its destabilizing effects on global financial markets and the global economy. Yet, also like him, I am cynical that the deal will lead to significant deficit reduction.

The deal claims to contain about $900 billion in spending cuts over the next decade. But the fanfare of the Tea Party notwithstanding, the deal does little more than confirm the low spending levels already negotiated for 2011 and 2012 and establish a cap for 2013 spending. Almost half of the $900 billion comes from cuts in security spending, primarily cuts in defense spending consistent with the anticipated reduction in US engagement in Iraq and Afghanistan.

The deal also calls for an additional $1.5 trillion in deficit reduction over the next decade to be determined by a special congressional committee and to be sent to Congress for an up or down vote with no changes allowed. The committee will be evenly divided between Democrats and Republicans selected by leaders of Congress and is charged with developing a deficit reduction package by Thanksgiving. Congress can reject the committee’s package but that would trigger automatic cuts of $1.2 trillion, about half of which would come from defense.

Given the unprecedented partisan divide and rancor in Congress, it is highly unlikely that the committee will be able to agree on a deficit reduction package or that such a package would win Congressional approval. It is even more unlikely that the trigger mechanism, which would require additional savage cuts in defense spending, would ever be allowed to take effect. Trigger mechanisms have been tried before and have a poor track record. In the past Congress has used ingenious loopholes and budgetary tricks to get around them. Moreover, as Professor Summers observes, the Congress that comes into power after the 2012 election can simply decide to reformulate the debt deal and drop the trigger mechanism and its automatic cuts altogether. This is by far the most likely outcome.

Super congressional committees and automatic triggers are undemocratic mechanisms for making tough budgetary choices. We need a balanced multi-year deficit reduction package that includes both revenue increases and spending cuts and that contains credible mechanisms for slowing the growth of health care spending. The deficit-reduction plans embodied in the debt deal fail to satisfy these conditions.

I also share Professor Summers’ anxiety about the US economy. Like him, I believe that the immediate problem facing the economy is jobs, not the deficit. Growth in the first half of the year was less than 1 percent, and the odds that the economy will slip back into recession have increased sharply over the last few months. The official unemployment rate currently stands at 9.2% and a growth rate of more than 2.5% is necessary to keep it from rising further.

The jobs gap and faltering recovery warrant additional temporary fiscal measures to increase private demand and promote job creation. I believe that the government should extend some of the targeted tax measures enacted at the end of 2011, including the payroll tax cut for employees and the capital investment expense deduction. It should go further and cut payroll taxes for employers on all new hires including hires by new businesses, and these payroll tax cuts should stay in effect until the unemployment rate falls below 6%. In addition, the government should invest more in infrastructure maintenance and expansion. Infrastructure investment raises demand, creates jobs and increases the growth potential of the economy. I am not optimistic that any of these measures will be enacted.

Professor Summers argues that the debt deal does no immediate harm to the economy. He may be right. But the means by which the deal was achieved has done significant harm to our global reputation and to our politics. The Tea Party Republicans have succeeded in shifting the political debate from the jobs crisis to the size of government. And they have used irresponsible threats and tactics to win a legislative and ideological victory. Given their success, they are likely to try to use the same tactics in the future, reducing the odds that we will get the economic policies we need to address our immediate jobs gap or our long-term deficit.

Monday, 25 July 2011

UK Stocks-Factors to watch on Friday July 22


Britain's FTSE 100 index is seen opening up as much as 36 points, or 0.6 percent on Friday, according to financial bookmakers, tracking overnight gains on Wall Street and in Asia as investors cheered a new rescue package for Greece and hopes for a breakthrough in the U.S. debt deadlock.

However, trading is likely to be volatile ahead of the expiry of monthly futures and options mid-morning in London.

Leaders of the euro zone announced late on Thursday a second bailout for debt-stricken Greece that includes an extra 109 billion euros of government money as well as a significant contribution from private sector bondholders.

The UK blue chip index closed 46.07 points or 0.8 percent higher on Thursday at 5,899.89, having endured a choppy session, trading in a 137 point range as nervous investors jostled positions awaiting the announcement from Brussels.

U.S. blue chips added 1.2 percent on Thursday as the concrete action from Europe on its debt crisis and, more importantly, signs of progress on the U.S. debt talks heartened investors.

Unexpectedly robust earnings results from Morgan Stanley , shares in which rose 11 percent, extended a relief rally to U.S. banking stocks.

After the Wall Street closing bell, however, Microsoft shares shed 0.8 percent after the world's largest software company posted a bigger-than-expected 30 percent increase in fourth-quarter profit, but profit from its core Windows product fell on soft personal computer sales.

Asian stocks rose on Friday, with euro-zone sensitive plays like HSBC , which makes up a chunky 15 percent of Hong Kong's Hang Seng index, up nearly 3 percent, helping that index gain 1.7 percent.

No important macroeconomic data will be released in Britain or the United States on Friday.

"The strong rally in the FTSE 100 suggests that a combination of new buying and short-covering may be driving the market higher," said James A. Hyerczyk, Analyst at Autochartist.

"One clue that buyers are beginning to step in is the secondary higher bottom formed at 5,752.81 against the June 17 bottom at 5,644.38. The month long support base being formed could turn into an explosive rally should buyers drive this market through the top at 6,084.08," Hyerczyk said.

* Greek deal lifts euro, stocks; outlook wary

* US STOCKS-U.S. debt news, euro debt agreement fuel rally

* Nikkei gains on banks, euro-sensitive stocks

* Euro rallies on Greece deal, US debt impasse hurts dollar

* LME copper extends fall to 3rd day, eyes 4th week of gains

* Gold steady after Europe debt deal, US deficit talks eyed

UK stocks to watch on Friday are:

BP

BP Solar is closing its U.S. manufacturing facility and will refocus is business on developing solar power projects rather than making panels for them, a company spokesman said on Thursday.

ROYAL DUTCH SHELL (RDSa.L)

Peter Sharpe, an executive at Royal Dutch Shell (RDSa.L) sees a new Chinese partnership with state-owned China National Petroleum as an opportunity to avoid paying oilfield service companies for drilling they could do just as effectively themselves.

LLOYDS BANKING GROUP

HBOS, bought by Lloyds Banking Group at the height of the financial crisis, is facing the prospect of disciplinary action from the UK's Financial Services Authority, The Independent said.

LONDON STOCK EXCHANGE

Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Ltd , the world's most valuable and profitable exchange operator, intends to offer about HK$52 billion ($6.7 billion) to take over the London Stock Exchange , media reports said on Friday.

Also, the UK has opted out of an European Central Bank project to establish a platform for settling share trades from across the region that aims to slash trading costs for investors, the Financial Times said.

AVIVA

Various newspaper market reports highlighted vague bid speculation surrounding the British insurer, with a price of 600 pence a share mentioned, and continental European names such as Allianz and Zurich Financial highlighed as likely predators.

C&W WORLDWIDE

Shareholders launched an attack on the board of Cable & Wireless Worldwide at the company's annual meeting on Thursday, with almost 40 percent refusing to back its lucrative executive incentive plan, The Times said

RETAIL

John Lewis , Britain's biggest department store chain, said on Friday it would step up the pace of its expansion by opening at least 10 new "flexible format" stores, eventually creating 3,000 jobs.

Also, John Lewis says its latest weekly department store sales rose 3.7 percent. .

VODAFONE

The mobile telecoms firm issues a trading update.

C&W COMMUNICATIONS

The telecoms carrier issues a first-quarter trading update.

UNITED UTILITIES

The multi-utility issues a trading update.

BEAZLEY

The insurer posts first-half results.

CLOSE BROTHERS GROUP

The investment bank issues a trading update.

VECTURA

The inhaled drugs firm holds is annual general meeting.

KCOM GROUP

The telecoms carrier holds its annual general meeting.

REGAL PETROLEUM

The oil & gas explorer holds its annual general meeting.

STRATEGIC NATURAL RESOURCES

The South African coal explorer holds its annual general meeting.

EAST BALKAN PROPERTIES

The commercial property investor holds its annual general meeting.

TODAY'S UK PAPERS

> Financial Times

> Other business headlines Multimedia versions of Reuters Top News are now available for: * 3000 Xtra : visit topnews.session.rservices.com * BridgeStation: view story .134 For more information on Top News visit topnews.reuters.com (Editing by Hans-Juergen Peters)

Sunday, 24 July 2011

Wall Street closes flat as debt worries offset earns



Stocks closed near unchanged on Wednesday, a day after Wall Street's best rally since March, as the oncoming debt ceiling deadline overshadowed strong earnings from Apple Inc.

Apple (AAPL.O) hit another all-time high one day after the maker of the iPhone and iPad reported quarterly revenues that far exceeded expectations.

The stock jumped 2.7 percent to $386.90 but, overall, investors sat on their hands amid the unresolved debt ceiling crisis in Washington. The White House and Congress were negotiating a deal to raise the U.S. debt ceiling before a looming default on August 2.

"The big elephant in the room is the debate about the debt ceiling, and as the clock ticks we all know that we are going to have a deal. It's just how soon," said Mohannad Aama, managing director at Beam Capital Management LLC in New York.

"Until then, the market is going to be affected by the daily news that is coming out of earnings season."

The Dow Jones industrial average .DJI lost 15.51 points, or 0.12 percent, at 12,571.91. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index .SPX shed 0.89 points, or 0.07 percent, at 1,325.84. The Nasdaq Composite Index .IXIC fell 12.29 points, or 0.43 percent, at 2,814.23.

Technology shares were lower, with Yahoo Inc (YHOO.O) tumbling 7.6 percent to $13.48 after reporting lackluster results, and Microsoft Corp (MSFT.O) dropping 1.7 percent to $27.06 ahead of its quarterly report on Thursday.

Financials were the best performing sector, boosted by a 4.4 percent rise in US Bancorp (USB.N) to $26.14. The Midwestern regional bank said second-quarter net income rose by 57 percent. The KBW Bank index .BKX climbed 1.5 percent.

In extended trade, chipmaker Intel Corp (INTC.O) shed 0.7 percent to $22.84, while American Express Co (AXP.N) added 0.3 percent to $52.26. Intel issued a current-quarter revenue forecast that trumped estimates, while American Express' profits topped expectations.

Sovereign debt problems in Europe and the protracted political battle over increasing the U.S. debt ceiling have weighed on stocks. On Tuesday, there was progress toward a $3.75 billion U.S. budget deal, prompting a late rally, but a resolution remained elusive.

European Union leaders must find a convincing solution to Greece's debt crisis at a Thursday summit or the global economy will pay the price, the head of the European Commission said in an unusually somber warning.

On the U.S. economic front, existing home sales fell unexpectedly to a seven-month low in June as cancellations of pending contracts surged, according to the National Association of Realtors.

Volume was light with about 6.38 billion shares traded on the New York Stock Exchange, NYSE Amex and Nasdaq, below the daily average of 7.48 billion.

Advancing stocks outnumbered decliners on the NYSE by 1,658 to 1,314, while losers beat winners 1,532 to 1,023 on the Nasdaq.

(Reporting by Chuck Mikolajczak; editing by Jeffrey Benkoe)

Saturday, 23 July 2011

US STOCKS-U.S. debt news, euro debt agreement fuel rally



* Morgan Stanley jumps on results, lifts financials

* Transport stocks gain, led by Union Pacific

* Progress on U.S., Greek debt deals underpin gains

* Indexes up: Dow 1.2 pct, S&P 1.4 pct, Nasdaq 0.7 pct

* For up-to-the-minute market news see [STXNEWS/US] (Adds Microsoft results)

By Chuck Mikolajczak

NEW YORK, July 21 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks climbed on Thursday as signs of progress on the U.S. debt talks and concrete action from Europe on its own debt crisis heartened investors.

Unexpectedly robust earnings results from Morgan Stanley (MS.N), whose shares rose 11 percent to $24.20, extended a relief rally in bank stocks after Goldman Sachs' dismal trading profits stunned the market earlier in the week. [ID:nN1E76K03J] and [IDnN1E76K0Y5]

But the biggest news was on a possible U.S. debt deal to save the United States from an unprecedented default.

"We started drifting until we got a report that the president and the speaker of the House were close to an accord, and the market shot up like a rocket at that point," said Bucky Hellwig, senior vice president at BB&T Wealth Management in Birmingham, Alabama.

The KBW Capital Markets index .KSX rose 2.9 percent.

In Europe, following a summit, euro zone leaders agreed the private sector would provide a net 37 billion euros to a second bailout package for Greece, with the total official financing around 109 billion euros. [ID:nB5E7HN03A][ID:nLDE76K1AS]

The Dow Jones industrial average .DJI gained 152.50 points, or 1.21 percent, to 12,724.41. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index .SPX rose 17.96 points, or 1.35 percent, to 1,343.80. The Nasdaq Composite Index .IXIC advanced 20.20 points, or 0.72 percent, to 2,834.43.

Stocks rallied to session highs after the White House said it saw momentum for a "balanced" deficit deal, but denied reports that U.S. President Barack Obama and Republican U.S. House of Representatives speaker John Boehner were close to a pact. [ID:nN1E76K1BO]

Transportation shares also contributed to gains after Union Pacific Corp (UNP.N) posted higher quarterly profits. Shares of the railroad company rose 4.6 percent to $104.40, and the Dow Jones transportation index .DJT was up 1.7 percent.

Biotechnology issues also rose. Alexion Pharmaceuticals Inc (ALXN.O) jumped 9.1 percent to $56.77 after the drugmaker posted better-than-expected quarterly earnings and raised its 2011 outlook. The NYSEArca biotech index .BTK climbed 1.8 percent. [ID:nL3E7IL27R]

On the downside, Dow component Intel Corp (INTC.O) shed 0.8 percent to $22.81, a day after the chipmaker trimmed its forecast for 2011 personal computer unit sales. [ID:nN1E76I25R]

After the closing bell, Microsoft Corp (MSFT.O) shed 0.8 percent to $26.87 after the world's largest software company greater-than-expected 30 percent increase in fiscal fourth-quarter profit, but profit from its core Windows product fell on soft personal computer sales. [ID:nN1E76K1RP]

Volume saw an upswing with about 8.22 billion shares traded on the New York Stock Exchange, NYSE Amex and Nasdaq, above the daily average of 7.49 billion.

Advancing stocks outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by 2,418 to 581, while on the Nasdaq, advancers beat decliners 1,752 to 814. (Reporting by Chuck Mikolajczak; Editing by Chizu

Friday, 22 July 2011

U.S. debt news and euro debt agreement fuel rally



Stocks climbed on Thursday as signs of progress on the U.S. debt talks and concrete action from Europe on its own debt crisis heartened investors.

Unexpectedly robust earnings results from Morgan Stanley (MS.N), whose shares rose 11 percent to $24.20, extended a relief rally in bank stocks after Goldman Sachs' dismal trading profits stunned the market earlier in the week.

But the biggest news was on a possible U.S. debt deal to save the United States from an unprecedented default.

"We started drifting until we got a report that the president and the speaker of the House were close to an accord, and the market shot up like a rocket at that point," said Bucky Hellwig, senior vice president at BB&T Wealth Management in Birmingham, Alabama.

The KBW Capital Markets index .KSX rose 2.9 percent.

In Europe, following a summit, euro zone leaders agreed the private sector would provide a net 37 billion euros to a second bailout package for Greece, with the total official financing around 109 billion euros.

The Dow Jones industrial average .DJI gained 152.50 points, or 1.21 percent, to 12,724.41. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index .SPX rose 17.96 points, or 1.35 percent, to 1,343.80. The Nasdaq Composite Index .IXIC advanced 20.20 points, or 0.72 percent, to 2,834.43.

Stocks rallied to session highs after the White House said it saw momentum for a "balanced" deficit deal, but denied reports that U.S. President Barack Obama and Republican U.S. House of Representatives speaker John Boehner were close to a pact.

Transportation shares also contributed to gains after Union Pacific Corp (UNP.N) posted higher quarterly profits. Shares of the railroad company rose 4.6 percent to $104.40, and the Dow Jones transportation index .DJT was up 1.7 percent.

Biotechnology issues also rose. Alexion Pharmaceuticals Inc (ALXN.O) jumped 9.1 percent to $56.77 after the drugmaker posted better-than-expected quarterly earnings and raised its 2011 outlook. The NYSEArca biotech index .BTK climbed 1.8 percent.

On the downside, Dow component Intel Corp (INTC.O) shed 0.8 percent to $22.81, a day after the chipmaker trimmed its forecast for 2011 personal computer unit sales.

After the closing bell, Microsoft Corp (MSFT.O) shed 0.8 percent to $26.87 after the world's largest software company greater-than-expected 30 percent increase in fiscal fourth-quarter profit, but profit from its core Windows product fell on soft personal computer sales.

Volume saw an upswing with about 8.22 billion shares traded on the New York Stock Exchange, NYSE Amex and Nasdaq, above the daily average of 7.49 billion.

Advancing stocks outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by 2,418 to 581, while on the Nasdaq, advancers beat decliners 1,752 to 814.

(Reporting by Chuck Mikolajczak; Editing by Chizu Nomiyama)

Thursday, 21 July 2011

Greek deal lifts euro, stocks; outlook cloudy


(Reuters) - Asian stocks rose and the euro climbed to a two-week high on Friday after European leaders agreed on a package to rescue debt-stricken Greece and gains will be sustained if U.S. policymakers also manage to cobble together a last minute deal.

European shares are set to open higher with financial spreadbetters expecting major indices to open between 0.6 to 0.7 percent higher.

Even as markets greeted the Europe rescue package news with relief, the single currency still faces considerable headwinds in its march toward a early May peak of near $1.50 as doubts regarding longer-term effectiveness of the deal remained.

For now, euro-sensitive plays, such as Japanese stocks including Canon (7751.T) and Nikon (7731.T) climbed, benefiting from the currency's strength, which would boost their exports.

Hong Kong shares .HSI were the clear outperformers in the region for the day with HSBC Holdings (0005.HK) -- which makes up a chunky 15 percent of Hong Kong's Hang Seng index -- up nearly 3 percent, helping the index gain 1.7 percent.

An emergency summit of leaders of the 17-nation currency area pledged on Thursday to conduct a second bailout of Greece with an extra 109 billion euros ($157 billion) of government money, plus a contribution by private sector bondholders estimated to total as much as 50 billion euros by mid-2014.

Investors who have been stricken by a series of factors ranging from the U.S. and Europe debt crises to concerns about a sharp slowdown in China used this rare bit of good news to pick up bargains.

Australian shares .AXJO rose 1 percent while Japan's Nikkei .N225 climbed 0.8 percent though a stronger yen may check gains.

The MSCI index of shares for Asia ex-Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS rose more than 1.1 percent, set for a fourth consecutive day of gains.

Equity gains were also sustained by a strong close on Wall Street with banks among the best performers after surprisingly strong results from Morgan Stanley (MS.N).

In credit markets, the Asia ex-Japan iTraxx investment grade index tightened by it biggest margin in over three months, pulling in by five basis points to 115 bps.

Emerging markets remain a preferred investment destination despite the uncertainty surrounding markets. Both emerging market equities and debt recorded decent inflows in the week ended July 20, according to Thomson Reuters Lipper data.

EURO GAINS SHORT-LIVED?

Demand for risk was also rekindled as hopes of a breakthrough in the U.S. debt deadlock gathered momentum with the White House and top lawmakers scrambling to sort through competing options before a August 2 deadline.

In currency markets, the euro vaulted more than 1 percent to as high as $1.4440 on trading platform EBS in early trades, the highest level since July 6, before easing slightly to $1.4385, up more than a percent since Thursday.

The single currency's way forward is strewn with technical resistance levels in the areas of 1.4458, 1.4493 and 1.4519.

Barclays Capital said the latest rescue package remains short of key details in areas like private sector involvement and the proposed size of the euro zone's rescue fund.

"The dollar is broadly weighed down, while the euro was lifted mainly by short-covering and it may have some more room to climb until around $1.45," said Makoto Noji, senior bond and currency strategist at SMBC Nikko Securities.

"Still, the market is not overly optimistic as the euro's effective exchange rate has not come up. The euro also remains under pressure against the Swiss franc and the yen as the euro zone debt problems linger," Noji said.

Elsewhere, gold fell to around $1,590 an ounce, about $20 below a record high of near $1,610 set on Tuesday. Silver tumbled more than 2 percent.

In bond markets, yields on ten-year U.S. Treasury notes stabilized around 3 percent after rising by more than 12 basis points in the past three sessions.

Tuesday, 19 July 2011

UPDATE 4-IBM's services signings surge, stock rises


* Signings up better-than-expected 16 percent

* Sets positive tone for tech earns, corporate spending

* Shares rise 2 percent (Adds details on markets, analysts' comments)

By Jim Finkle

BOSTON, July 18 (Reuters) - IBM's (IBM.N) signings of new business at its services division surged 16 percent in the second quarter, trouncing expectations and raising hopes that 2011 will be a good year for the technology sector.

Investors had feared that technology sales would slow in the second half, hurt by the economic uncertainty in Europe and Japan. But IBM offset sluggish business there with strong growth in developing markets from Brazil to China, and robust sales of a new line of mainframe computers.

Analysts said the results marked a strong start to the tech earnings season, with other bellwethers such as Apple Inc (AAPL.O), Intel Corp (INTC.O) and Microsoft Corp (MSFT.O) set to report quarterly results in coming days. [ID:nN1E76H1KN]

"As I look for the balance of the earnings reports this week, I think it's going to set a pretty good tone," said Keith Wirtz, chief investment officer for Fifth third Asset Management.

International Business Machines Corp shares climbed 2 percent to a record high on the news. The company also raised its full-year profit forecast after second-quarter results beat Wall Street estimates.

"Good service signings reflect that they are capturing their share of the solid IT spending that we're seeing in the market now," said Edward Jones analyst Josh Olson.

"IT spending and demand for software and services remains healthy despite all this economic turmoil, and businesses continue to invest in efficiency," he said. "We're seeing that in these results."

IBM said on Monday that signings rose to $14.3 billion during the second quarter, beating Wall Street projections and easing investor concerns after the closely watched number dropped in the first quarter.

Deutsche Bank said in a research note that analysts on average had expected signings of $12 billion to $13 billion.

Investors believe signings is a key indicator of future profits. But IBM says the focus should be more on total backlog of business, which grew by $15 billion during the quarter to $144 billion.

Some $8 billion of the $15 billion increase in backlog came from the developing economies that IBM defines as "growth markets."

WAITING OUT THE TURBULENCE?

Some investors had feared that corporations will keep a tight grip on 2011 technology budgets, waiting out the economic uncertainty in the United States and Europe.

But developing markets drove top line growth for IBM. On a constant-currency basis, revenue leaped 13 percent in growth markets -- which includes the BRIC countries of Brazil, Russia, India and China -- far outpacing the 3 percent sales growth chalked up in so-called major markets.

The growth in developing countries was led by sales to financial services firms and communications companies.

IBM reported second-quarter profit, excluding items, of $3.09 per share, beating the average Wall Street forecast of $3.03, according to Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S.

Revenue rose 12 percent from a year earlier to $26.67 billion, ahead of the average forecast of $25.35 billion.

Shares in the Armonk, New York, company rose to $178.90 in extended trade, beating the previous record high of $177.76 on July 6. They had fallen 26 cents to $175.28 in regular New York Stock Exchange trade on Monday.

Analysts said Wall Street had priced in strong growth expectations, limiting the stock's after-hours rally.

"Expectations are pretty high for this name right now. We've seen it do very well this year, up 20 percent or so to date," Olson said. (Additional reporting by Alexei Oreskovic and Noel Randewich in San Francisco and Liana Baker in New York; Editing by Edwin Chan and Richard Chang)

US STOCKS-Wall Street gains on earnings, eyes Apple


IBM rallies on strong new services business

* Apple at yearly high before reporting results

* Goldman, BofA hit 52-week lows after earnings

* Indexes up: Dow 1 pct, S&P 0.9 pct, Nasdaq 1.5 pct

* For up-to-the-minute market news see [STXNEWS/US] (Updates with comments on Apple in paragraphs 4-5)

By Aleksandra Michalska

NEW YORK, July 19 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks jumped 1 percent on Tuesday on strong earnings from IBM and Coca-Cola, offsetting investor disappointment in results from big financial firms.

The turnaround from Monday's losses over debt worries also came from unexpectedly strong U.S. housing data.

Dow component International Business Machines Corp (IBM.N) added 4.3 percent to $182.84 a day after it said new business at its services division was up more than expected, raising hopes for the technology sector.

The S&P information technology sector .GSPT gained 1.9 percent, the top gainer among S&P sectors. Shares of Apple (AAPL.O) hit a 52-week high ahead of its report due after the closing bell. For details, see [ID:nN1E76H1DO]

"I don't think it's going to be a surprise that Apple earnings are going to be very good," said Michael James, senior trader at regional investment bank Wedbush Morgan in Los Angeles. "The stock might have a significant move tomorrow. How big it's going to be will depend on the guidance commentary that they give."

The Dow Jones industrial average .DJI was up 123.40 points, or 1.00 percent, at 12,508.56. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index .SPX was up 11.65 points, or 0.89 percent, at 1,317.09. The Nasdaq Composite Index .IXIC was up 42.21 points, or 1.53 percent, at 2,807.32.

The market has been preoccupied with corporate earnings, putting on the back burner wrangling in Washington over a deal to raise the debt ceiling. There is a growing sense that a last-ditch plan taking shape in Congress may be the only way to avoid a U.S. default. [ID:nN1E76H1Y0]

However, all 10 S&P 500 sectors rose on Tuesday, even financials despite by declines in Goldman Sachs Group Inc (GS.N) and Bank of America following their results. After advancing in the morning, Bank of America (BAC.N) fell 3 percent to $9.43. Goldman lost 2 percent, to $126.68.

"Goldman is a bellwether of the rest of the banks, and it should set the tone for the rest of them, but I wouldn't be too pessimistic," said Robert Francello, head of equity trading for Apex in San Francisco.

Those losses were offset by a 4 percent rise in shares of Wells Fargo (WFC.N) to $27.95 after it said profit rose 30 percent. [ID:nN1E76H058].

Housing starts topped forecasts in June to touch a six-month high, and permits for future construction unexpectedly increased, the government reported. Homebuilder D.R. Horton Inc (DHI.N) climbed 4.16 percent to $11.76 and the PHLX Housing Index .HGX rose 2 percent. [ID:nLDE76I14Y]

Goldman's second-quarter net income fell short of lowered expectations as fixed income trading revenue dropped sharply. Bank of America recorded a second-quarter net loss of $8.8 billion after a big settlement with mortgage bond investors. [ID:nLDE76I122] [ID:nN1E76H0D0]

Coca-Cola Co (KO.N) posted slightly higher-than-expected profit on strength in emerging markets. Johnson & Johnson's (JNJ.N) earnings topped estimates on a turnaround in its prescription medicines and stabilizing sales of over-the-counter medicines. [ID:nN1E76I03V] [ID:nN1E76I03I]

Coke rose 3 percent to $69.36, while J&J was 1 percent lower at $66.37. Both stocks are Dow components. (Additional reporting by Caroline Valetkevitch and Ryan Vlastelica; Editing by Kenneth Barry)

Wall Street gains on earnings, eyes Apple


Reuters) - Stocks jumped 1 percent on Tuesday on strong earnings from IBM and Coca-Cola, offsetting investor disappointment in results from big financial firms.

The turnaround from Monday's losses over debt worries also came from unexpectedly strong U.S. housing data.

Dow component International Business Machines Corp (IBM.N) added 4.3 percent to $182.84 a day after it said new business at its services division was up more than expected, raising hopes for the technology sector.

The S&P information technology sector .GSPT gained 1.9 percent, the top gainer among S&P sectors. Shares of Apple (AAPL.O) hit a 52-week high ahead of its report due after the closing bell.

"I don't think it's going to be a surprise that Apple earnings are going to be very good," said Michael James, senior trader at regional investment bank Wedbush Morgan in Los Angeles. "The stock might have a significant move tomorrow. How big it's going to be will depend on the guidance commentary that they give."

The Dow Jones industrial average .DJI was up 123.40 points, or 1.00 percent, at 12,508.56. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index .SPX was up 11.65 points, or 0.89 percent, at 1,317.09. The Nasdaq Composite Index .IXIC was up 42.21 points, or 1.53 percent, at 2,807.32.

The market has been preoccupied with corporate earnings, putting on the back burner wrangling in Washington over a deal to raise the debt ceiling. There is a growing sense that a last-ditch plan taking shape in Congress may be the only way to avoid a U.S. default.

However, all 10 S&P 500 sectors rose on Tuesday, even financials despite by declines in Goldman Sachs Group Inc (GS.N) and Bank of America following their results. After advancing in the morning, Bank of America (BAC.N) fell 3 percent to $9.43. Goldman lost 2 percent, to $126.68.

"Goldman is a bellwether of the rest of the banks, and it should set the tone for the rest of them, but I wouldn't be too pessimistic," said Robert Francello, head of equity trading for Apex in San Francisco.

Those losses were offset by a 4 percent rise in shares of Wells Fargo (WFC.N) to $27.95 after it said profit rose 30 percent.

Housing starts topped forecasts in June to touch a six-month high, and permits for future construction unexpectedly increased, the government reported. Homebuilder D.R. Horton Inc (DHI.N) climbed 4.16 percent to $11.76 and the PHLX Housing Index .HGX rose 2 percent.

Goldman's second-quarter net income fell short of lowered expectations as fixed income trading revenue dropped sharply. Bank of America recorded a second-quarter net loss of $8.8 billion after a big settlement with mortgage bond investors.

Coca-Cola Co (KO.N) posted slightly higher-than-expected profit on strength in emerging markets. Johnson & Johnson's (JNJ.N) earnings topped estimates on a turnaround in its prescription medicines and stabilizing sales of over-the-counter medicines.

Coke rose 3 percent to $69.36, while J&J was 1 percent lower at $66.37. Both stocks are Dow components.

(Additional reporting by Caroline Valetkevitch and Ryan Vlastelica; Editing by Kenneth Barry)

Venezuela tops oil reserves league in OPEC table


(Reuters) - OPEC's proven crude oil reserves rose 12.1 percent in 2010 to 1.19 trillion barrels led by Venezuela, which has surpassed Saudi Arabia as the group's largest reserves holder, OPEC said in its Annual Statistical Bulletin.

The latest figures are unlikely to quell skepticism about reserves estimates from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, some of which analysts say may be exaggerated although the producers deny doing so.

OPEC's growth in oil reserves was mainly due to Venezuela, whose holdings climbed to 296.5 billion barrels from 211.2 billion in 2009, the report said. Top OPEC exporter Saudi Arabia's reserves were steady at 264.5 billion barrels.

Iran and Iraq also boosted their reserves last year. In October, Iran increased its reserves to 150 billion barrels within a week of an upward revision by Iraq, ensuring that Tehran continued to rank above Baghdad.

"OPEC has a fantastic history of competitive reserves upgrades," said Bill Farren-Price, analyst at Petroleum Policy Intelligence.

Reserves are one of the criteria OPEC has used in setting output targets. Iran and Iraq were rivals in the past over OPEC quotas and OPEC in the next few years is expected to tackle the issue of bringing Iraq back into the quota system. Iraq is exempt at present.

Iraq boosted its reserves to 143 billion barrels last year, up 24 percent, the report said. Iraq has said its reserves increased as work by international oil companies started to yield results.

Venezuela's move to the No. 1 reserves spot bumps Iran and Iraq to third and fourth place respectively. Commenting on the OPEC report, an Iranian official said the country still held its status as OPEC's second-largest producer after Saudi Arabia.

"Iran is still the second crude producer of OPEC and insists on this," an unnamed Oil Ministryofficial told Iran's state news agencyIRNA on Tuesday.

RISING GLOBAL SHARE

OPEC said a year ago its reserves increased in 2009 because of Venezuela. President Hugo Chavez's government said in January it had had overtaken Saudi Arabia as the world leader.

Venezuela's new deposits were booked in the South American country's Orinoco extra heavy crude belt.

The boost in Venezuela's figures helped OPEC attain a larger share of the global total. OPEC holds 81.3 percent of the world's proven crude reserves, up from 79.6 percent in 2009, the report said.

Saudi Arabia, by far OPEC's largest exporter, holds an advantage in that its oil is mostly light, conventional, easily-pumped crude. The Orinoco oil needs to be upgraded or mixed with a lighter grade to create an exportable blend.

Some countries such as Algeria, Kuwait and the United Arab Emirates had no change in their reserves in 2010 or in any year since 2006, the report said.

This trend has also given rise to doubts about the estimates, as analysts say it is unlikely new additions to reserves will exactly match production.

OPEC's 12 members pump more than a third of the world's oil. Several producers, including Saudi Arabia and Venezuela, have denied suggestions their reserves have been exaggerated.

(Additional reporting by Barbara Lewis and Ramin Mostafavi; Editing by Anthony Barker)

Monday, 18 July 2011

Wall Street drops on global debt woes


Stocks dropped on Monday as bank shares bore the brunt of investor frustration over governments' inability to solve debt crises in the United States and Europe.

With five days to go before President Barack Obama's deadline for a debt ceiling deal and no agreement in sight, Republicans and Democrats were crafting a fallback plan to avert a U.S. default.

The longer the debt ceiling debate remains unresolved, the bigger the risk for further declines in stocks and a spike in volatility. The CBOE Volatility index .VIX rose 7.8 percent on Monday after a gain of more than 20 percent last week.

Adding to pressure on financials, the euro zone's regulatory stress tests for banks were viewed as unrealistically soft, given the scope of the crisis.

"It's not a good environment for financials," said Terry Morris, senior equity manager for National Penn Investors Trust Company in Reading, Pennsylvania.

"The market is really scared right now and it's a fragile economy that we have, so when you throw something like this in the cake, then you have investors sitting on the sidelines or selling."

Bank of America Corp (BAC.N) hit a new 52-week low and ended down 2.8 percent to $9.72 while Citigroup Inc (C.N) lost 1.7 percent to $37.74. Financials were the weakest S&P sector on Monday, losing 1.4 percent.

The Dow Jones industrial average .DJI dropped 94.57 points, or 0.76 percent, to 12,385.16. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index .SPX declined 10.70 points, or 0.81 percent, to 1,305.44. The Nasdaq Composite Index .IXIC fell 24.69 points, or 0.89 percent, to 2,765.11.

Expectations of strong earnings could fuel optimism, but it may not be enough to lift the market from its recent decline. Last week's encouraging results from Google Inc (GOOG.O) and JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM.N) were overshadowed by global economic worries that sparked the S&P 500's worst performance in five weeks.

In the latest earnings news, Halliburton Co (HAL.N) reported a 54 percent jump in quarterly profit as a U.S. onshore drilling boom showed no sign of cooling off. The stock edged up 4 cents to $53.12.

Second-quarter earnings for S&P 500 companies are seen rising 6.5 percent, and of the 44 companies in the S&P reporting so far, 75 percent posted higher-than-expected profits, according to Thomson Reuters Proprietary Research.

After the closing bell, International Business Machines Corp (IBM.N) said quarterly profit rose 8 percent from a year earlier, buoyed by strong growth in sales of its computers and software. Shares gained 2.4 percent to $179.45 in extended trading.

Allstate Corp (ALL.N) shares fell 5 percent to $28.01 after a senior executive left the largest publicly traded U.S. home and auto insurer, and analysts said the pressure was on management to produce results. The KBW insurance index shed 2.8 percent.

Volume was light with about 6.89 billion shares traded on the New York Stock Exchange, NYSE Amex and Nasdaq, below the daily average of 7.49 billion.

Declining stocks outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by 2,569 to 446, while on the Nasdaq decliners beat advancers 2,027 to 543.